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throughout the contest.This was an enormous character win for us, Beveridge said.We know our backs are against the wall and the

in Gästebuch 13.01.2018 12:01
von x123 • 1.745 Beiträge

With a defense and special teams both ranked in the middle of the pack, its clear that the Dallas Cowboys hopes this season rest with an offense that is ranked first in Expected Points Added (EPA) per game and EPA per snap. Air Max 2018 Baratas . But Dallas is nearing a crossroads at the games most important position. Should they continue to ride rookie sensation Dak Prescott, or lean on veteran Tony Romo?when he returns? Its not as simple as saying, The team has gone 5-1 so far, so lets stick with him. The Cowboys coaches are obviously in the best position to understand each QBs abilities, but it might be wise to add some numbers to the discussion.Prescott has only six starts under his belt, so we dont have a long track record to examine. Theres little doubt hes talented, but when players start out very hot, its very difficult to sustain that level of performance. Usually, many favorable factors have combined to allow such a strong start, and those factors are far from assured to persist. Its not a guarantee, just a strong tendency known as reversion to the mean.To examine this further, I grouped all new starting QBs since 2001 into five quintiles (equally sized groups) according to how well their entire offenses did in their first six starts. Then I compared those performances with how each quintiles offenses did in their next 10 starts. The idea is to look at offenses as a whole, rather than just how the QB himself performs, for two reasons. Dallas has a lot of good pieces around Prescott, and those pieces and his own abilities complement each other. And overall offensive performance is also the thing the Cowboys care about the most -- theyre not in a fantasy league, after all.Prescott is in good company in the top quintile, which includes guys such as?Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Philip Rivers, Ben Roethlisberger?and Cam Newton. But it also includes QBs who faded after hot starts, such as Tim Rattay, Aaron Brooks and Marc Bulger. Trevor Siemian and Carson Wentz, two other notable newcomers to the league, would currently fall into the second-best group.Each of the five quintiles regresses to the mean in a different way, and Prescotts Cowboys would fall into the top quintile that holds on to much of its high level of performance through the next 10 starts. We can expect the Dallas offense to regress similarly, in the manner reflected in the graph below.Accounting for that regression, Prescotts Cowboys can expect to average about .09 EPA per snap, which would still be excellent, about sixth or seventh in the league. For context, over a typical game of about 67 plays, .09 EPA per snap would translate into about +4 net points above the league average (.03 EPA per snap is the league average so far in 2016). But how does this compare with what we would expect from Romo?The Cowboys offensive production during Romos career averages .07 EPA per snap, or about +3 net points per game above average, slightly less than what we might expect with Prescott. But in his last 32 starts, Dallas has performed slightly better, at .09 EPA per snap, or about +4 net points above average per game.There are many considerations we havent accounted for, such as Romos age and associated injury concerns, Dez Bryants absence or presence, or opponent strength. But by seeing how top offenses tend to perform after hot starts under new QBs, we can get a rough approximation of what to expect through the rest of the regular season. The results of this exercise show that, analytically speaking, the Cowboys can feel justified going with either quarterback. Puma Suede Rosa . Ivanovic was leading 7-5, 1-0 when Hantuchova withdrew after falling 0-40 behind in the second game. The match started slowly for Ivanovic, who surrendered her first two serves as Hantuchova took a 5-3 lead. Chanclas Fenty PUMA Bow Slide Ejercito Verde Mujer/Hombre . White came in fourth place in the event. He was the two-time defending gold medallist. The gold medal went to Swiss snowboarder Iouri Podladtchikov. . -- The Magic have their first victory of the new year. Unsung forward Nick Kay has risen to the occasion to lead the Illawarra Hawks to an 82-73 NBL win over Melbourne United at WIN Entertainment Centre.Kay tallied 15 points and five rebounds in the Sunday victory, while guards Mitch Norton and Rotnei Clarke combined for 27 points.The only issue for the Hawks was a knee injury suffered by Marvelle Harris in the games final minute.Australian Boomers centre David Anderson led Melbourne United with 23 points and eight rebounds.Melbourne were without injured stars Chris Goulding and Todd Blanchfield.The Hawks led by 11 at halftime before Melbourne cut the margin to three with a quarter to play.Illawarra held their nerve down the stretch to send Melbourne crashing to a fourth straight loss.The Hawks started strongly and were up by seven late in the opening period before Melbourne backup guard Kyle Adnam sparked his team into action and cut the home teams lead to 21-20 at quarter-time.The Hawks tightened the defensive screws, holding the visitors to just two points over the first six minutes of the second period.Frustrations boiled over for Melbourne, as American guard Cedric Jacksoon and coach Dean Demopolous each picked up a technical foul. Sandalia Da Puma Rihanna Blanco Hombre/Mujer Leadcat Fenty Fur Slide. he Hawks were struggling for offensive efficiency but used tough defence to build a 41-30 halftime lead.Melbourne silenced the home crowd with a spirited third quarter revival before Illawarra regained control in the final period.Illawarra coach Rob Beveridge said his side hung tough throughout the contest.This was an enormous character win for us, Beveridge said.We know our backs are against the wall and theres been a lot of external pressure, so thats a good tough effort.We got smashed on the boards and considering how many extra possessions we gave them it was a pretty gutsy effort.Marvelle will be okay. Its not as bad as we first thought.Melbourne coach Dean Demopolous said the Hawks deserved their win.Give Illawarra credit for the way they got to the foul line tonight with their aggression, Demopolous said.We have to get better at what were doing. 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